Stock futures stumble after in-line inflation print


U.S. stocks moved lower at the open Thursday as investors dissected the latest batch of economic data and braced for more Fedspeak and the start of earnings season from corporate tech giants.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC), the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) were all down by roughly 0.5% at the start of trading.

Bond prices ticked up. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 3.368% from 3.374% Wednesday. The dollar index traded lower Thursday morning.

Stocks plummeted Wednesday after new government data showed a slowdown in consumer spending activity, while a reading on wholesale price inflation showed signs that price pressures are easing in the economy. The S&P 500 had its worst day on Wednesday since mid-December, failing to hold the 200-day moving average, according to the US Market Intelligence team at JP Morgan.

Wall Street will be navigating another round of data, as well as remarks on Thursday from Vice Chair Lael Brainard, Bank of New York President John Williams, and Bank of Boston President Susan Collins. All three Fed speakers will be attending different events before the Fed’s next monetary policy meeting, which starts Jan. 31.

On Wednesday, other Fed officials called for more interest rate hikes. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should move interest rates above 5% “as quickly as we can” before pausing the current hiking cycle.

On the economic data front, new US home construction continued to fall in December, the fourth consecutive monthly decline, closing out a disappointing year for the industry.

Residential starts decreased 1.4% last month to a 1.382 million annualized rate, according to the government data released Thursday. Single-family homebuilding jumped to an annualized 909,000 rate. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 1.36 million pace of total residential starts in December.

Applications to build, a proxy for future construction, decreased 1.6% to an annualized 1.33 million units. Permits for construction of one-family homes fell 6.5%.

Initial unemployment claims dropped to 190,000 compared to 205,000 in the previous week. Claims were expected to rise to 214,000, per Bloomberg estimates.

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index improved modestly in January to -8.9 from -13.8 in December. This reading came in better than the forecasted -10.3.

Investors are starting to enter what’s likely a challenging fourth-quarter earnings season, with analysts downgrading their forecasts for earnings growth. According to the data from FactSet Research – the consensus for earnings drop is 3.9%, which would mark the first year-over-year earnings decline reported by the index since 2020 if realized.

DataTrek’s Nicholas Colas notes that the power of corporate earnings remains a question mark. Fourth-quarter earnings should provide some insight, but commentary from management on this year’s fundamentals will be more important. The problem, in Colas’ opinion, is that no CEO has an incentive to be upbeat right now.

Netflix (NFLX) is set to take center stage as it reports earnings on Thursday after the market closes, kicking off a two-week period during which most of the market’s biggest tech companies will report their quarterly results.

The streaming giant’s results will be closely watched, with this quarterly update giving a closer look at the company’s subscriber momentum in the final period of last year and any color on its advertising-supported service tier. Additionally, the company could provide potential updates on its planned crackdown on password sharing.

The logo of Netflix is pictured at the 2022 Paris Auto Show in Paris, France October 17, 2022. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe

In market specific moves, shares of Alcoa (AA) dropped Thursday after the U.S. based aluminum producer reported lower prices for aluminum products at the end of 2022.

Procter & Gamble (PG) shares were down 1% Thursday morning after the company raised its full-year sales forecast on the back of price increases to cover transportation, commodity, labor costs, and the impact of a strong U.S. dollar hitting its overseas revenue.

In commodities markets,West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose nearly 1% to $80 per barrel. At the same time, gas prices are up 5.33% since the end of 2022, according to AAA data.

Dani Romero is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @daniromerotv

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